Blending the old with the new makes cents


BY JOHN ELLIS, FINANCIAL ADVISOR

Last week, we explored gold’s enduring appeal as the world’s oldest safe-haven asset. From ancient Egypt’s ‘Flesh Of The Gods’ to its modern role in diversified portfolios, gold has shone through crises, hitting record highs around €4,200 – €4,300 an ounce amid geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and central bank buying. It crossed €3,000 early in 2025 and surged past €4,000 in October, proving its reliability when markets wobble.

Now, contrast that with Bitcoin, often dubbed ‘digital gold’. Created in 2009 as a decentralised alternative to traditional money, Bitcoin promises scarcity (capped at 21 million coins) and borderless transfers. But this year the two assets tell quite different stories.

Gold continues its steady climb. As of February 7, 2026, spot gold hovers around €4,200–€4,220 an ounce, based on current exchange rates, buoyed by safe-haven demand and a softer dollar outlook. Central banks keep adding to reserves, and unlike volatile assets, gold rarely sees sharp daily drops.

Bitcoin, however, has faced turbulence. After Trump’s 2024 election victory and pro-crypto promises sparked a rally to over €110,000, the price has fallen sharply. It dipped below €55,000 in early February, erasing gains, before rebounding. As of February 7, Bitcoin trades around €58,000–€59,000. That is down significantly from late-2025 peaks, hit by “leveraged liquidations, tech stock selloffs, and fading hype as regulatory momentum stalled”.

The parallels are clear. Both are scarce and produce no income. They rely on demand for value. Bitcoin enthusiasts pitch it as ‘digital gold’ for the internet age, faster, and easier to move globally. Yet the differences stand out. Gold is tangible and proven and central banks trust it. Bitcoin is digital, younger, and more correlated with risky assets like tech stocks during downturns. When uncertainty spikes, gold often rises while Bitcoin can plunge with equities.

Recent months highlight this split. Gold’s rally reflects flight to safety amid global worries. Bitcoin’s boom-then-bust cycle shows its sensitivity to sentiment, institutional flows (via ETFs), and events like Trump’s policies. Even as Bitcoin drops, companies like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) remain committed. The firm holds 713,502 bitcoins (about 3.4% of total supply) bought at an average of around $76,000 per coin, and it continued adding to its portfolio in January 2026 despite the price pressure.

They view dips as buying opportunities in its long-term “Bitcoin treasury” strategy. While Bitcoin offers explosive upside if adoption grows, think more mainstream access or potential government reserves, it carries higher risk, including volatility and potential for severe corrections.

In a balanced portfolio, the two can work together. Gold provides stability and cushions losses in tough times, as we discussed last week. Bitcoin adds potential for outsized gains during a bull market, appealing to those comfortable with swings.

Why consider them now? Gold remains a timeless diversifier for protection against volatility. Bitcoin, despite its recent dip, represents a bet on technological and financial innovation and could rebound strongly with fresh catalysts. For the average investor, a modest allocation to each (perhaps 5–10% combined) spreads risk.

In uncertain 2026 markets, blending the old with the new could offer the smartest path forward.

john@ellisfinancial.ie

T: 086 8362633

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